Description

This analysis provides a forecast of FET prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-07-27 0.547835 0.631633 0.722917 0.829602 0.950723 1.083814 1.240994
2025-08-03 0.408275 0.523221 0.660837 0.837067 1.056034 1.318378 1.655680
2025-08-10 0.325426 0.451214 0.612693 0.833764 1.126907 1.500437 2.010325
2025-08-17 0.267063 0.395502 0.570233 0.822970 1.176367 1.649659 2.327494
2025-08-24 0.224597 0.352522 0.535648 0.813525 1.220305 1.788846 2.637068
2025-08-31 0.187288 0.310228 0.494675 0.787105 1.233401 1.881669 2.884973
2025-09-07 0.173534 0.301141 0.500478 0.828593 1.347390 2.125891 3.368465
2025-09-14 0.148619 0.270308 0.468273 0.806569 1.360605 2.219139 3.631620
2025-09-21 0.128013 0.243513 0.438804 0.784570 1.369878 2.304556 3.886343
2025-09-28 0.111546 0.221474 0.414291 0.767315 1.383789 2.396343 4.155619
2025-10-05 0.102971 0.212497 0.411046 0.785617 1.458068 2.590432 4.604080
2025-10-12 0.098437 0.210463 0.419750 0.825490 1.572380 2.858692 5.194349
2025-10-19 0.091892 0.203890 0.419802 0.850407 1.663882 3.097706 5.757629
2025-10-26 0.083900 0.193338 0.411169 0.858237 1.725183 3.289231 6.253692
2025-11-02 0.075679 0.181086 0.397647 0.854872 1.764586 3.443607 6.693350
2025-11-09 0.067710 0.168204 0.381258 0.843827 1.787704 3.569071 7.088113
2025-11-16 0.060832 0.156753 0.366427 0.834160 1.812125 3.697853 7.496807
2025-11-23 0.053355 0.142779 0.344493 0.807119 1.798740 3.752912 7.768675
2025-11-30 0.051978 0.143315 0.354520 0.849581 1.931572 4.100395 8.626644
2025-12-07 0.046100 0.131782 0.335908 0.827040 1.925674 4.172894 8.949582
2025-12-14 0.040906 0.121195 0.318194 0.804524 1.917481 4.239467 9.264091
2025-12-21 0.036586 0.112252 0.303308 0.786862 1.918066 4.323457 9.618605
2025-12-28 0.034703 0.109713 0.303811 0.805596 2.001553 4.585903 10.357952